Pokémon TCG: Sword and Shield—Brilliant Stars

Championship Point Cut-Off Speculation

CFOURCOLTSFAN said:
For any1 who's interested-
my guesses @ cutoffs for all divisions in NA
Jrs.-60(depends mainly on how many BF's they have leftover from Autumn BR's)
Srs.-54
Masters-49
Click to expand...

I know only one junior got their BFL for BR's, but I know 40th had roughly 8 points heading into Reg. Agree with your estimates though.



Posted with Mobile style...
 
Considering that there is still a maximum possible 36 CPs still to obtain (8 Battle Roads, and Nationals)
NORTH AMERICA:
MASTERS:
Current 40th place is at 42 points.
Current First is 58 points.
at this point you need to have at least 6 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place

SENIORS:
Current 40th place is at 46 points.
Current First is 67points.
at this point you need to have at least 10 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place.

JUNIORS:
Current 40th place is at 50 points.
Current First is 74 points.
at this point you need to have at least 14 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place.

As soon as Spring BRs are done, the cutoff should be more apparent
 
DukeFireBird said:
Considering that there is still a maximum possible 36 CPs still to obtain (8 Battle Roads, and Nationals)
NORTH AMERICA:
MASTERS:
Current 40th place is at 42 points.
Current First is 58 points.
at this point you need to have at least 6 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place

SENIORS:
Current 40th place is at 46 points.
Current First is 67points.
at this point you need to have at least 10 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place.

JUNIORS:
Current 40th place is at 50 points.
Current First is 74 points.
at this point you need to have at least 14 CPs to even be in contention for 40th place.

As soon as Spring BRs are done, the cutoff should be more apparent
Click to expand...

It is worth noting that only one person will get that 36 points, and it's down from there...
 
^
and also that he's assuming the curve won't move at all, and that you would just flat out win like every event, more realistic numbers for being in contention
Jrs-44(almost every jr in top 40 will prolly max out BR wins so catching up is near impossible imo)
Srs-38(again same as above, except in extremely competitive areas most in t40 will max out, catching up is tough)
Masters-30(being generous on this, top40 after autumn was 4 pts so you can catch up quickly, and then a top 32(prolly) or 16 or top 12 will also catch you up on the curve)
 
what you both said is accurate, I did have to leave for work shortly after posting that, but that is the eliminated line for now.

I Will be figuring out a more detailed answer soon

also as a random side note:
828 masters in contention
293 seniors in contention
197 juniors in contention

all based on being within 36 points from 40th place.

Yes I do realize the odds of this are improbable, but it is the bare minimum.

Also, the high end of the lock is set to the following
MA:78
SR:82
JR:86

MA:42-78
SR:46-82
JR:50-86
so the current scale is huge, but it does still need refining.
 
Last edited:
Duke, how about we limit ourselves to "reasonable" levels of speculation?

Let's say that maxxing BRs and getting T32 is "reasonable". The assumption here being that, even if players haven't already hit their max for BRs, they're probably not gonna do much better than T32 Nats if they haven't been playing much this year.

That's an average case scenario of 16+4=20 CPs available.

So that puts the minimum contending line at 22 points for Mas, 26 points for Srs, and 30 points for Srs. How many are "in contention" with this set of assumptions?
 
Juniors-60 (41 also has 60, but misses on ELO)
Seniors-57 (41 again has 57, but misses on ELO)

Too bad one missed per division...
 
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