Recent content by toby

Bump

I did address your point. I also read and understood your post. When you don't understand something, you seem to just conveniently ignore it. Why don't you go back and field the last question put to you in #249 regarding your understanding of a figure-of-merit? I put in the effort to explain...

Well, for once I agree with you: it is vitally important on how the deck smells. That is precisely why Tagrineth has augmented each match with a wiff test. A nice smelling deck gets a .1 match bonus, and a bad smelling deck gets .1 match demerit. Thanks for your concern.

Tagrineth had proposed playing 10 matches for BOTH versions, i.e., 20 matches total. I'm pretending he wins 5 out of 10 (no IH), and 6 out of 10 (IH).

Okay. I made a spreadsheet to calculate the confidence. I tested it out. Here's an example: You play 10 matches, winning 5 without IH, and 6 with IH. You'd have a confidence of .665 that IH is better than no IH.

There’s no point in recording anything that you aren’t going to use. The danger is that you may use it after seeing the results. There’s nothing to do with the information. Suppose the Flariados foe flips 20 tails on 20 tries. What are you going to do? There may be a desire to toss the game...

Excellent. Removing “outliers” (good vs. bad flips, horrible gaffs) is not a bad idea, but you probably need to define what an outlier is ahead of time (very precisely), and apply it equally. This is so perilous, though, that it might be best to include every sample. I do not think...

I wear a red shirt to a tournament. I do well; therefore, I continue to wear a red shirt to tournaments. Your method applies to red shirts and anything else. What you have is pseudo-science. So, I should not believe your opinion? So, it is your opinion that I should use my opinion. But...

I guess we should just give up, then. We should say pi is 3, because we don't have the foggiest notion how to compute it. That's what you're arguing, right? If we don't know what the answer is, then we should just throw our arms up and believe in something, right or wrong. It's better to...

I tested out Heaven's Gate and it has proven to be quite useful overall. I really like it, I just wish other people would try it out. Numbers? What are the numbers?

I read plenty closely. It is you who can't comprehend. I'm asking for an exact formulation of how to decide. I'm looking for a formulation that forces the same conclusion (based on whatever evidence is collected) regardless of who the experimenter is. That is, I want precise way of...

How do you know whether it "helps" your deck? What is the decision mechanism? I want to know exactly. For example, an exact mechanism would be: Following 50 games, you flip a coin; if it lands heads, then the card helps; if it lands tails, then it doesn't help. Once again, how can we make...

I want to know "how" to try a card and keep your objectivity, which is exactly what my post asks. "How" has been placed in question marks to emphasize the point. Do you believe that if you merely try a card in a deck, that you can assess correctly whether it is a good card? You try it for a...

Quipping and sarcasm prove little, except that you are ill-equipped. Try addressing my point. Edited Drug references are NOT allowed. Do not use that type of phrase again.

Here's the thing: there is no US coin worth less than 4 cents. The penny must be worth more than a 4 cents, because the nickel, dime, quarter, half dollar, and dollar are all worth more than 4 cents.