No need to ban the Mesprit X. It only has a .926% chance (One Rainbow without Psychic on the same die= 1/6, One psychic with no Rainbow on the same die= 1/6, One die with both= 1/3) of going off and it is easy to KO. Be thorough if you decide to ban cards for play at League with Rumble. Mesprit is a heavy hitter, but it would just fizzle most of the time :thumb:
p1 = 1/3 (Rainbow & Psychic)
p2 = 1/6 (Psychic)
p3 = 1/6 (Rainbow)
You need 2 hits, any 2 will do, so
p = (p1*p2) + (p1 * p3) + (p2 * p3) = ~14%
Just remember, it has to be way higher than the odds of getting a specific set of doubles on normal dice (1/36 ~3%). That'd be the case if you had just p2 and p3, but not only do you have a 3rd die, but that die has 2 "hits" on it.
p1 = 1/3 (Rainbow & Psychic)
p2 = 1/6 (Psychic)
p3 = 1/6 (Rainbow)
You need 2 hits, any 2 will do, so
p = (p1*p2) + (p1 * p3) + (p2 * p3) = ~14%
Just remember, it has to be way higher than the odds of getting a specific set of doubles on normal dice (1/36 ~3%). That'd be the case if you had just p2 and p3, but not only do you have a 3rd die, but that die has 2 "hits" on it.
We had one at the Citys yesterday, I did not get to play it, but it looked interesting.
Afterwords, I looked at a couple of Targets for it, but no luck.
Those are the odds of getting 1 psychic. Odds of getting two psychics is less than a 1% chance.
I'm not sure, but I think that one dice has neither a Psychic nor a Rainbow symbol, which is why the probabilities only include 3 dice.