Machamp has too weak of a late game to hold par against Kingdra and something with fighting resistance, scoop ups, and STS.
Kingdra remains BDIF, it loses nothing in the transition and very little still stops it. As this is a format based completely around having the most average or better matchups, Kingdra dominates, as the only things that really hinder it are losing power.
Beedrill didn't lose much in the long run, however, nothing really existed to give it power. All it really had was Rare Candy and Scoop Up Power at first. Now it has STS, Shaymin LX to buff its HP's, A resistance to two common powerhouses, one of which it will be weaking. (Granted, Ramparados will own it through its res..) and a very fire lacking metagame special thanks to Blastcat and Kingdra.
Pokemon G is to be questioned as of yet, as it is hardcore donk love. It has very little to be noted in the late game which really hinders it, but it is extremely powerful during the early game. Torterra will make itself present to stop the quick damage if necessary. I personally don't know if it really is T1 material myself, but the way everyone is hyping it, I dunno.
Blastcat doesn't have the strength and consistancy that Kingdra dominates with. it almost requires Dialga G Level X to keep itself safe, because if Ampharos does become a threat, Blast's entire deck is hindered by it. IMHO, it requires way too much set-up to be a high end contender. I'd say its even lucky to be sitting at T2.
Again on Machamp, its a great deck, don't get me wrong, It blows away Regigigas like thats his business, and it can do some wicked power to AMU and other deck, but Kingdra scared me out of continuing to play this deck. Machamp is not a Tier 1 deck simply because it can't keep up with Kingdra, or perhaps even Beedrill. We already know its matchup with Dusknoir is questionable too, and even if it gets gimped, do not expect to see it leaving format. T2 at best. I wouldn't doink it any lower than that either.
Ramparados is questionable atm. I've been able to get him out as early as T1, but as late as T3. Octo-Tutor is insane, but knowing when to play Bebe's and when to use the Excavators is really situational. IMHO, it loses to Kingdra because its hurting itself, and Kingdra is not only doing damage to him but also to the Bench. It goes through Beedrills res, but Beed has weak, Scoop ups, STS, and a ton of other things. With only a 50/50 at best against Beedrill and having an inferior matchup to Kingdra does not let this ancient annihilator get any higher than T2. Great matchup with Gigas though,thanks to one shotting the jerk all day for just one.
Torterra, I think it definitely will be seeing a comeback in play with the potential drop in Dusknoir play at States. I'd seen it a few times at CC's, but they didn't do spectacular, not even making cuts. It had unfavorable matchup's to Gigas, Dusknoir, and Champ, even if it could keep up with Kingdra. Seeing as how two of those may not be seeing amazing amounts of play, and there still is no solid Fire choice out there (Kingdra <3's Magz.), it just may come back.
Dusknoir: Too much to lose. Dusky gets shut down by Ampharos, Dialga G Level X, has a rocky matchup with Kingdra, has inevitable problems with Beedrill, sets up slowly, which makes it victim of G donk, increased counter-stadium love.. I just can't see the point of playing him after CC's.
AMU. highly possible. Level MAX makes it more viable, the potential removal of Dusknoir from meta, it has a solid matchup with Kingdra, barely even with Beedrill (If it sets up T2, its in trouble..), but it sets up well enough that it can match many of the solid decks out there, just because Dusknoir might be stepping down.
Other things to look for:
- Maybe a spike in Fire meta. If the grass types become overpowering to Kingdra (doubtable), we may see a spike.
- Ampharos.. I'm not set on it yet. It has too many unfavorable matchups atm.
- Obama, He'll be gimped, but I'll bet some people still have faith in it.
- Regigigas. I have no doubt in my mind some people will continue to play it even with Ramp + Champ running about. Its not like its really bad, it just loses a lot of steam to a lot of the more consistant decks. Beats the crap outta Beedrill too. (Ninja Mewtwo tech hi-yaaaah)
- Other amusing things that have been brought to my attention that I am going to keep on the down low for right now.
