'Mom, I disagree, respectfully.
At this point there were a potential of 16 tourneys (more or less) that one could have made if they travelled.
Few, if any players (none that I know) did this, so let's say we had 8 tourneys so far for a "serious player".
Taking that same rationale to mind, most players, on average will hit 2 states, some more, some less.
Then most will hit, at most, 1 Regional.
Then we will have Battlezones, which, OK, are TBA, but let;s assume you can hit 4 BZs, and then your Nationals.
At this point, we are looking at one-half of the season done.
A few more ratings points on the back half for some, but, man, a lot has been put under the bridge!
I would agree that noone has won or lost an invite yet, but young Mr. Grafton seems to be well on his way (1980+).
Just my thoughts, talk to you soon.
Vince