Pokémon TCG: Sword and Shield—Brilliant Stars

WEREWOLF XV: Pokemon Wars: GAME END: TOWN WINS!!!!! See Post 2547 for Final Update!

For Clarification


Players remaining: 11
Votes to Lynch: 6


gallade: 4 PokeChampofPokeBeach, Pikajew1312, Sandslash7, JewelQuest
Sandslash7: 2 Scottistru, thunderjolt
 
@SS7: just letting you know that I did read your post and will drop in tomorrow with my replies, which I have already mentally prepared.
Posted with Mobile style...
 
Haven't had too much time on my hands lately, this week has been pretty crazy with homework and such. Anyways, I'll be able to post more, once I read through these really long posts of late X(

I also evacuate "Sector 2".
 
#2394




Understandable. If our situations were reversed, it would take some logical convincing to show that I'm on the Town's side. I believe that I've given a very sufficient explanation for my actions. My role, plus precedent, plus my words and actions during the day are all in support of my claims that I've held since the beginning of the game. I am not a Sith, I am Town.





I understand a bit more now, thank you for clarification.


I don't believe your scenarios are accurate. Lets go with a TRUE WCS set, with Me and gallade as guaranteed lynches day 11 and day 12 (something that you said you were going to do, but didn't.That was a miswording on my part, I meant we assumed you as the lynches unless proven town See Bolded above)

D11: Gallade (Town) (10 left)
N11: Wolf kill/Cynthia kill/Sith kill (Sith Victory?) (9-7 left)
D12: SS7 (Town) (8-6 left)
N12: Wolf kill/Sith Victory? (7-5 left)

Town loses/Sith Victory


D11: SS7 (Town) (10 left)
N11: Wolf kill/Cynthia kill/Sith kill (Sith Victory?) (9-7 left)
D12: Gallade (Town) (8-6 left) Except with the investigation on gallade, he may be proven scum, giving us another shot at avoiding the WCS
N12: Wolf kill/Sith Victory? (7-5 left)

Town loses/Sith Victory


I don't see much difference between these two.

My point is that scenarios break down if there are too many kill roles. Right now we have a total of 3 confirmed kill roles and one highly probable kill role. A LOT can change in one night, especially with gallade's insistence on us waiting one Night.
At least his insistence is with good reason, better than an outright pointless request


Putting myself and gallade in WCS alignments (both Town), along with setting us as the next two lynches almost automatically causes a Town loss. This is assuming that neither one of us dies during the Night after the other one is lynched, and assuming that we don't lynch Dragonclyne725, who is highly probable to be scum.



Variables we don't know:
  1. We don't know how many "True Sith" there are (maximum of 3, minimum of 1)
  2. We don't know the final Sith win condition
  3. We don't know if the Sith will duel it out on the "Final Night"
  4. We don't know which night is the "Final Night" for the Sith
  5. We don't know if Napoleon will kill someone during the next Night
  6. We don't know if I'll be able to kill a liar(scum) during the next night.

Too many variables are at play right now.




I'll try to summarize your reasons for voting for me again. (correct me again if this is incorrect)

You are voting for me because:
  1. Without voting now, you wouldn't be able to swing momentum.
  2. The Town can't lose tonight. Therefore scenarios show SS7 is a better vote.
  3. Players can't investigate me.
  4. Redados1 might have been lying/deceived.
  5. I can sway the town in the direction that I want if I'm scum.


I hope that was an adequate distillation of your points.

I'll respond:
  1. Agreed, time is needed for any change. Though this really isn't a reason for why you are voting for me, just a reason for why you are voting NOW.
  2. I wouldn't assume this at all. The Sith have an unknown win condition. It could be that after the last Jedi is eliminated they use the next Night as a Battle Royale and kill each other until only one remains. I don't want to give them that possibility. Again, there are too many variables to make that assumption.
  3. I guess this is true. I had no idea until King Piplup revealed the information he found.
  4. Possible. But why did he say "TOWN" if he only got "stuff about secrets and gibberish" like King Piplup says he did? Between the two of them, Yoda seems like he would be able to get more information/be more sure of his information than KP (no offense to you KP. Logic says Yoda is better than SF2I meant that you may be able to turn up as innocent to straight seer roles, as "no result" would look too suspicious).
  5. If you believe that, then you also believe that "I can swing the town in the direction that I want if I'm Town", as well.


Distilling my responses.

You are assuming that the Town can't lose tonight. I don't think that is a healthy assumption to make. Too many variables are in the mix. A true WCS involves the Town losing tonight, regardless of the lynch, whether its gallade, me, you, Cardz, or anyone else.

You think I'm too powerful right now, and feel that its in your best interest to kill me now, rather than keep the town "going where I want them to go."



That last point is invalid. There is always a collective of a few players "driving" discussion. That is the nature of WW. Some people take a back seat approach, whereas some are more active. As those that are active are eliminated, those who take a back seat are thrust into positions of talking more.
I disagree with this. I believe you and I are the center of the game right now, and our argument will decide the direction of the game. An even worse scenario is if we lynch town other than you today, and you, as scum, lead the town to lynch one of their own. Because the two of us are in the spotlight, I wan't to avoid the scenario where you out argue me(because you will) and you lead the sith to victory.
There are ALWAYS players with more "power/charisma/pull/influence" at every stage of the game. Going after them because of this reason is illogical.


Cardzmaster2004 is sometimes in this seat, but this game it has fallen to me now in the late stage due to his absence. I sat back during the early stages of the game simply due to the fact that I was starting Dental School and that was my main priority. I also sat back because as a "Vet" I'm ALWAYS a target for kill roles. I have effectively played the same playstyle as WW XII (Absol's last game) this game.


That playstyle is elucidate below.

Sit back and watch the fireworks of the early game, then identify Scum based on their lies and the role revelations we see during Absol's updates. If you go back to XII, you'll see me saying the same things. Coming in towards the later half of the game with information and with strong accusations against players. Giving discrete analysis of the updates, as well as using that information and logic to determine the alignments of players. In fact, I lead the town against CARDZ HIMSELF and got him lynched JUST IN THE NICK OF TIME based on his lies not matching up to the Night update, just like gallade. Cardz would have won THAT NIGHT had we not killed him. As you can see from that game and this game, my actions have been internally consistent with not only my precedent, but also within the confines of my role and character.
I will have to check this information


That is what I'm doing now. I've not changed my playstyle at all (a tell of Scum, see PF5).



In fact, if gallade is Scum and Sith (which I believe is 99% sure at this point), then I see an eerie parallel between XII and XV.




I do applaud you for your step into the spotlight. Keep participating. You have "gained power" with your accusation of me and increase in posting activity. To playfully turn your logic against you: If you were Scum and got me killed, YOU would be in control of the Town tomorrow, able to bend it to your whims. Except I'm making this argument for people who truly believe I am town, that do not worry about this scenario However this is NOT an ample reason to accuse/vote for you. Nor do I have "all the power" right now either. If I went off and accused Cardz right now of being a Wolf, I'm sure that wouldn't go over well. Right now, the primary posters are Myself, You, KP, Thunderjolt, PCPB, and JewelQuest. Gallade, DC725, Cardz, Pikajew, and Napoleon are hanging back.




I expect you to have complete and logical reasoning for your vote for me. Lay out a point-by-point case against me. I've summarized your points for your vote already, but I want everyone to be completely positive on why you want to vote for me, someone who has been logical, and forthcoming.


This is what I've done with gallade. I listed 10 points of contention/contradiction. Evidence and claims made by him and the updates that I believe proves without a shadow of a doubt that gallade is Sith. He has not posted to his defense, and is shown to be a superior lynch in most circumstances (the only circumstance he is not a superior lynch is one where the wolves win Night 11).


I look forward to continuing to dialogue with you.



Shoutouts:
Cardz - You haven't answered what you were doing Night 7.
Napoleon - You still haven't answered who you targeted Night 4.
Dragonclyne725 - You haven't been around at all recently.
gallade - You haven't been around either. The fact that you are acting just like DC725 is another point against you.
Pikajew1213 - Please participate. At least quote some people and mark your approval of their points, if you can't/don't want to elucidate your own.
Comments in Bold

Now for a point by point case of why you are a good lynch.
-You are very possibly scum, based on process of elimination as well as your most likely being Ezio
-No more information can be determined about you, so your lynch tomorrow will be with the same evidence as today. i.e you cannot be proven town at this point, while gallade may be able to be confirmed on way or another.
-Your lynch avoids the WCS(If there is no loss tonight) of you out arguing me and winning the game(which I believe you will do if scum)
-If you are lynched, napoleon can fairly safely take a shot at gallade, without risk of it ending the game directly. However, if gallade is lynched, napoleon may not be able to use his night kill for fear of hitting town, eliminating a kill controlled by the town.

Now a case for lynching gallade
-Is more likely to hit scum, possibly saving us from losing tonight without a way to stop it.
-Prevents us from wasting our night roles on him
-Err, I can't think of anything else, but those two point are more prevalent than most of yours

Finally, a question for you SS7. In a WCS of 3 sith, if you are town, who are the three sith?
I will check back in this afternoon or late morning and determine where I will place my vote.
 
I laso quickly evacuate from Sector 2 while, at the same time, voting for gallade even though Im not happy about it...

~Cardz/JP.
 
I guess this is my last day in the game, and the only reason I'm dying is because of my bad play. Oh well. This game was ok while it lasted. I'm really disappointed with the night updates, because every single night, a huge part of my role was revealed. Me being in a group, me remembering my memory etc. It was mostly luck I'm dying now, but I tried my best, and I did alright for my first time with the cards I was dealt.
 
I guess this is my last day in the game, and the only reason I'm dying is because of my bad play. Oh well. This game was ok while it lasted. I'm really disappointed with the night updates, because every single night, a huge part of my role was revealed. Me being in a group, me remembering my memory etc. It was mostly luck I'm dying now, but I tried my best, and I did alright for my first time with the cards I was dealt.

I fear he tells the truth about being town guys... I feel a mislynch coming. It's too late to switch around though, I hope I'm wrong...
 
thunderjolt said:
Furthermore, I think someone else may have said this before, but what if dragonclyne is a wolf and has some sort of ability to switch the identity of a kill? I'm still thinking that diaz was not a wolf, but he was Lance. The wolf somehow layed a wolf "marker" on diaz

Has that ever been an ability before? That kind of ability would give a wolf protection from seers, which are basically one of the only ways to confirm who is a wolf. That seems incredibly overpowered to me.

KP said:
If that issue with the role switch on night one for Diaz (Lance) really was correct it would explain Jellyfisher's confusion on the initals of Dragonclyne725's character. Jellyfisher would've gotten the real initials, while Dragonclyne could claim "L" for Lance because of a swap.

jellyfisher's role let him choose a room and see every non-force sensitive person in it, and have a 35% chance of seeing force sensitive people. There was nothing in his role that said anything about being able to see initials of people, so I'm not sure why he was asking for initials.

gallade said:
I guess this is my last day in the game, and the only reason I'm dying is because of my bad play. Oh well. This game was ok while it lasted. I'm really disappointed with the night updates, because every single night, a huge part of my role was revealed. Me being in a group, me remembering my memory etc. It was mostly luck I'm dying now, but I tried my best, and I did alright for my first time with the cards I was dealt.

I think that settles things. The votes sit at 4-2 (gallade-SS7), so gallade will be lynched whether I vote or not.
 
Does the evacuation statement at elast stick? Just in case...

I EVACUATE SECTOR 2!

VOTE:gallade (even though Im not happy about it...)


~Cardz/JP.
 
*Mod's observation*

I'm not sure why people are saying "evacuate sector 2"
you guys don't even know what sector 2 is do you?

Everyone is in the Hanger right now, which may or may not be Sector 2, Who knows? I sure don't. You certainly can't just leave the Hanger in the middle of the day. That would be like a Senator just leaving the Senate in the middle of a debabe (and no I don't want an example of that happening which I'm sure it has.) Reguardless all those "Evacuate" lines everyone has bolded mean absolutely nothing and I'm slightly confused as to why everyone posted them....weird.

*end observations*

For Clarification


Players remaining: 11
Votes to Lynch: 6


gallade: 5 PokeChampofPokeBeach, Pikajew1312, Sandslash7, JewelQuest, Cardzmaster2004
Sandslash7: 2 Scottistru, thunderjolt
 
#2414

Comments in Bold

Now for a point by point case of why you are a good lynch.
-You are very possibly scum, based on process of elimination as well as your most likely being Ezio The PC in Assassin's Creed is a good guy, no? Fighting the evil of the Knights Templar. However, my point about it being IMPOSSIBLE that I was the Black Cloak on Night 9 goes against your process of elimination. There is NO PHYSICAL WAY I was that Black Cloak. I was detained in the Hangar the entire Night. I could not have moved to any other rooms. PCPB attests to this. Thus the acting Sith at that time was NOT me. Therefore PoE doesn't show I'm "very possibly scum".



-No more information can be determined about you, so your lynch tomorrow will be with the same evidence as today. i.e you cannot be proven town at this point, while gallade may be able to be confirmed on way or another. I can't prove or disprove that, since I've told you that I know nothing about not being able to be Seered. All I have is testimony from KP that I gave out "gibberish and ramblings about secrets" and testimony from Redados1 that I'm Town. Therefore it might still be possible for me to be Seered. I just can't prove or disprove that. All I have is testimony to 2 different outcomes.



-Your lynch avoids the WCS(If there is no loss tonight) of you out arguing me and winning the game(which I believe you will do if scum) I don't think that your scenario is correct due to the number of variables. As for out arguing you, that is up to the town. If you come after me, know that I won't roll over. I'm Town, and I'll show that every time. I'm not threatening, but showing how steadfast my resolve is. I feel that if gallade dies and the 1% chance that he is town happens, then you will jump on me without a second thought. I also feel that if I die and it is revealed that I am Town, then the town will jump on you. Auspiciously, out fates have become linked over gallade.
If gallade IS Sith (which I am 99% sure of), then I hope you will take that as knowledge that I am still working towards the town's Victory.




-If you are lynched, napoleon can fairly safely take a shot at gallade, without risk of it ending the game directly. However, if gallade is lynched, napoleon may not be able to use his night kill for fear of hitting town, eliminating a kill controlled by the town. It is true that Napoleon may not be able to use his kill with direct knowledge of scum. But we still have Dragonclyne725 being the possible last wolf to worry about. If gallade dies and is scum, then we do have a good possibility.



Now a case for lynching gallade
-Is more likely to hit scum, possibly saving us from losing tonight without a way to stop it.
-Prevents us from wasting our night roles on him
-Err, I can't think of anything else, but those two point are more prevalent than most of yours A chunk of my case is built on his logical contradition of X AND ~X. He claimed to be in jpulice's group, which is why he couldn't be badged. While claiming that at the SAME TIME he was NOT in jpulice's group, hence he has no role. Point 2 is that in the past 2 Nights (Night 9 most specifically, and most suspicious) there is 1 unclaimed role. The Black Cloak. Night 9 gallade claimed to be the Brown Cloak (Katarn), but that was obviously not him. You were the following man, and the other roles were claimed (minus the Imperial). Therefore it is highly likely that gallade was that Black Cloak, a Sith.



Finally, a question for you SS7. In a WCS of 3 sith, if you are town, who are the three sith? That is the real kicker, isn't it. I'll give you my answer, but also throw that back as well.
My answer is: I don't know. I've said for a while now that the numbers don't add up. I was expecting 4 total Sith for a while, and the re-emergence of the 5th came as a bit of a shock. 2 of them are going to have to be guesses, since I don't know outside of the nigh-certainty of gallade.

1) thunderjolt. Deoxys, as a Pokemon, is innately Force-Sensitive. Deoxys has not done much aside from running away from me. Plus, Deoxys watched Cardz get beaten up and targeted by multiple people last night "With Great Pleasure." That seemed a little strange. But I have no concrete evidence for their Sithness.

2) gallade. As I've outlined, the likelihood of gallade being Sith is very high.

3) In this position, I would have pegged you had this been asked yesterday. I would have also said Cardz. In fact, I did say that both last game day (unless I dreamt that). I said that either gallade and jpulice were Jedi and Cardz/Scottistru are Sith, or vice versa. But evidence has come out that says otherwise. Cardz being Seered by Napoleon as Town. You being badged by jpulice. Both of those facts counteract either of my main two picks for Sith #3.

I really don't know. That is why I've encouraged looking at the veracity of peoples posts, in addition to the Night updates. That is why I've said before: The numbers don't add up. If only we'd be able to know exactly what the specifics on the badges were, we'd be able to prove for certain that you are Town. Unfortunately, that's probably something that Absol's written into the "Hidden Rules" of WW, rules that no one sees but himself. Rules like what roles take precedence over what. What roles act FIRST during the Night? What EXACTLY does a person see when Seering/investigating another? I fear that we will never know, unless he reveals those things to us at the end of the age.

This is also why I complimented Absol on making a game more complex that I would have realized even 2 Days ago. I'm still grasping at information even now. I wish I had time to go back and ISO Waynegg and TheKing. I wish I had time to ISO everyone still alive.


For #3? I have no answer. That is clearly not something I say lightly, because I know what that will mean to everyone. But I have no answer. I can make assumptions as to who its NOT, but I don't have any proof of who it is.



Who it is NOT:
Dragonclyne725
KingPiplup
Me


Who it probably is not:
Scottistru (the only reason you are here is the variable of jpulice's specific badge requirements)
Cardzmaster2004 (the only reason he is here is the possibility that he deceived Napoleon/badge requirements)

Who it might be:
PokeChampofPokeBeach (Tattoo)
Jewelquest (Pokemon/Force Sensitive)
Napoleon (Tattoo)
Pikajew1213 (Shady Gun Guy. Indie? Lakak?)




When I'm revealed as Town (if I die), you'll have to deal with the same situation. 3 Sith around and precious few people to claim them. This is why I am having so many problems, and why I have no discrete answer for you.


I will check back in this afternoon or late morning and determine where I will place my vote.


Thank you for outlining your case. You've done a good job. While most of it is circumstantial, your case isn't bad. I'm fortunate that I have such discrete proof as PCPB's protection of me during Night 9 to show that I am not the Primary Sith (the Black Cloak), if not a Sith entirely. I hope that this next night we will find out more about the Sith and how many truly are left.

About your previous bolded comments within my post:

  1. Accepted.
  2. Could be, could not be. If he is Sith he may be trying to get to that "Final Night"
  3. That may be possible. Again I had no knowledge of anything of the sort until KP revealed his info. I assumed I would be as visible as the other normal townies, given what Redados1 said. I had no inkling that anything was strange until KP said it. I can't tell you how seers will react to me because I honestly don't know. I would hope that the other seers CAN find out information about me. From what we can garner, Redados1's role worked and KP's didn't really work. I don't know where on the spectrum the other Seer roles are.
  4. Indeed. In a WCS where I'm Sith and we lynch Town, I might be able to out argue you. I wouldn't agree that I COULD out argue you, however. I do agree that right now, the quest stands upon the edge of a knife. Stray but a little, and it will fail, to the ruin of all. (LOTR reference). I feel your statement is correct. The rest of the game hinges on our discussion here. You and I are the focus.
  5. Acceptable. You may have to check the "Endgame Analysis" to see where Absol says that Cyrus(Cardz) would have won if the Town lynched a Townie that Day. But most of that information is there. Its been a few years though.
  6. I don't understand this point.



Has that ever been an ability before? That kind of ability would give a wolf protection from seers, which are basically one of the only ways to confirm who is a wolf. That seems incredibly overpowered to me. Yes. In WW XII Cyrus's role gave him the ability to be read as town. Ikrit came with a no-read clause.



jellyfisher's role let him choose a room and see every non-force sensitive person in it, and have a 35% chance of seeing force sensitive people. There was nothing in his role that said anything about being able to see initials of people, so I'm not sure why he was asking for initials. Probably to confirm his assumptions. I for the longest time thought that pikajew1213 was SF#2.



I think that settles things. The votes sit at 4-2 (gallade-SS7), so gallade will be lynched whether I vote or not.








Finally, to drop a MAJOR BOMB on things. I need to get this out quickly before the day ends. I waited for a very specific reason, and I'm glad I did. King Piplup, thunderjolt, you hit the nail on the head. I'm glad someone else came up with this BEFORE I posted it. This makes my theory a lot more valid if others are having the same idea independently of my information/assumptions.

thunderjolt said:
Furthermore, I think someone else may have said this before, but what if dragonclyne is a wolf and has some sort of ability to switch the identity of a kill? I'm still thinking that diaz was not a wolf, but he was Lance. The wolf somehow layed a wolf "marker" on diaz

King Piplup said:
Interesting thoughts on the role-switching with Diaz. It makes no sense to me that there is not a Lance in this game. @Napoleon-Can you confirm or deny that Lance exists? If anything it seems he would be looking for you/vice versa. (Red-Blue from XII).



I CONFIRM THAT DRAGONCLYNE725 WAS TELLING THE TRUTH ABOUT HIS ROLE.



I DON'T KNOW WHAT PART, BUT SOME OF IT WAS TRUE.




I honestly don't think that there is any way he would NOT be the last wolf. The night updates and his contradiction with King Piplup have shown that. But, I investigated him last night, and for whatever reason, he was telling the truth about his role.


I think that it is highly probable that DC725 and Diaz "switched roles." DC725 took Lance from Diaz, and Diaz was shown to be a complete VANILLA WOLF. THERE HAVE BEEN NO VANILLA ROLES EVER IN THIS GAME.

Additionally, why would the wolves EVER kill one of their own on Night 1? WHY? THAT MAKES NO SENSE. It was also NOT a reflection. It was a deliberate kill, but the only role that showed up was a Vanilla Wolf. No mention of being a Pokemon Trainer, no mention of betraying the Empire and switching to the town side. NOTHING.


But yet I couldn't do anything to DC725 last night. Therefore, I submit that he is the final wolf, a secret agent, (JAHAN CROSS perhaps?) one who fooled even me. Someone who I couldn't kill no matter how hard I tried.


Napoleon, if you've got your kill, I think DC725 might be the best choice right now, since I can't do anything to stop him if he is a wolf (likely based on contradictions and the un-logicality of a N1 Wolf kill ON a Wolf).






@Absol : Who says we can't run while talking? I'm only evacuating Sector 2 because the pretty computer lady told me too. If evacuating doesn't work, can we at least close the blast doors so that the EM shield keeping the O2 in the Hangar can't catastrophically fail and kill us all? :thumb:
 
@all sorry about my terrible writing I don't currently have a computer so I normally have to use my nook it has no spell check and a ton of glitches I'm on my iPod right now and will post my thoughts on town/enemy tonight :D
Posted with Mobile style...
 
@#6 I meant that if you were serious about that being a reason not to lynch you, the WCS doesn't work in reverse, because my case completely relies on my being town, while I can't assume that about you.
@Major bomb: I agree with role switch possibility, but don't think napoleon should kill him. As far as sith are concerned for numbers, an imperial kill is no different from a town kill to them.
Unvote: Sandslash7
I am worried that we do not have room to hit a townie right now, and would rather let SS7 live for now.
Nobody hammer yet though
@Napoleon: Kill thunderjolt
 
#2417

@@#6. I'm sorry if I'm dense, but I still don't know what you mean precisely. Regardless if its important we can discuss it tomorrow. But, if it means what I think it means, than I'll use that as well for my "playful" turnaround.


@@Major Bomb: True, but the longer we leave a wolf in, then the more kills the wolf gets. If we stop the wolf kills, then there will be no more guaranteed night deaths. I think this helps the Town keep their numbers up in the long run.


It's up to Napoleon who he wants to use his kill on, but I think removing the last wolf would be very beneficial in the long run.
 
While we are here, I'd like to discuss the Comlink.....Does everyone think that it might be the way to 'recruit' Boba(Jango, Wobba, whatever you want to call him) Fett? Like in the last game? I propose that someone picks it up, tells us that he does so, and we'll see what happens. I am perfectly willing to volunteer.

Just saying because ever since somebody pointed it out that it might have something to do with him it's been ticking away in my brain....

@SS7: Wow....you are quiet right, I looked back at the update in which Diaz dies, and everything matches up to him being Lance. And it supports the Cynthia/Lance rivalry as well, when Diaz and a 'trainer with a Roesrade' face off.
 
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