You are aiming to get T1 Champ-hence the unown Rs and trainers and heavy uxie count. But this isn't about machamp. It's about the matchup. His list dosen't have the consistancy to beat a machamp. Of course my list varies with others, but I like a deck that goes all out. DialgaChomp is definitely a good deck-I'm even using it. But the deck definitely has problems with Machamp. I wouldn't devote so much to a counter to your only bad matchup-but thats just me.Nice article man, really. Though, I find it funny that you said your build was based on consistency and you only run 2 Dialga G, 2 collector, and 3 call. Call me crazy, but if the basis of you build was consistency, wouldn't it be more like 3 Dialga, 2 collector, 4 call?
For what it's worth, this is my main deck as well and I only run 2 Dialga G. I'm not saying 3 is bad, but I will say those that keep saying you need 3 probably don't have much experience with the deck. Nothing worse than 2 dead draws late game when you need that warp energy and you get Dialga twice. Now, that's not saying you can't be experienced and run 3, that just means if you've played the deck much AT ALL, you know that 2 or 3 is preference and really doesn't affect consistency that much.
As for the Machamp match up, I think every scenario (except Pooka's report b/c it was real) is ridiculous. So, Dialga has to go first every time? If not, what is the match up like then? If Dialga goes second and gets the lock, is it an auto loss for Machamp? Because, if a coin flip is 50/50 and the matchup depends on who wins the toss, the match up will always be 50/50. If Dialga has a bad match up by going first but has an infinitely better match up going second, then Dialga has the net advantage. Both decks are "gimmick" decks, but only one has the ability to take out the other's "gimmick," that being Toxocroak G stopping take out, it seems to me that Dialga has the better match up. Especially since Toxicroak can be Poketurned and healed, and can also be healed by Garchomp. Don't misconstrue that to mean it is any easy match up, or to say its not 50/50, but I am saying that I think the matchup analysis is fair in the article.
And, I've slept since college and didn't pay NEAR as good of attention in stats as I wish I had, but I'm pretty sure 3 coin flips is 12.5% for 3 heads.
All probably outcomes:
hhh
hht
hth
thh
htt
tht
tth
ttt
Only 1 is all heads, thus it is 1/8=12.5%
And, just to continue the longest post ever, I just looked over that Machamp list. No Bebe? I've never played Machamp, but that just doesn't seem to follow the "laws" of consistency. Probability says you won't start with a Collector, which means you won't get to use Communication. There is only a 27% chance you start with 1 in hand, 35% you start with one or top deck one. So, that means 65% of the time, this deck doesn't set up. Now, that is cheap, shoddy math that doesn't account for other ways of drawing into it (double poke drawer start, uxie, Pokedex). But, we also assumed Uxie was sprayed T1, which isn't likely only running two. But, I will say that I started with a spray in my hand 3 times in 4 matches at BR and only ran 2. Probable and consistent? No. The moral of the story is, that scenario is ridiculous and that list seems pretty easy to get around. If there is ever 1 turn where Machamp doesn't get out, Deafen shuts that list down with no Bebe. Yet, somehow, that list beat the monkey crap out of Dialga in that scenario.
Deck is good-list has problems with Machamp. Definitely a contender
EDIT: The list was made quickly reflecting an MD-ON format. Also, I was going to do theorymon if Machamp went first-but got lazy. I knew people would have a problem with Dialga going first-but if I did that, how realistic would it be to get toxi/tank/stadium/gain/energy/lucario/spray? unlikely. Of course, these are just my opinions. It could come to a flip of a coin. But with dce, you can fight with rage. I didn't add bebes-but they would be added in easily. The lists definitely couldve been better, but we are definitely not like Pooka, lol
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