NoPoke
Active Member
okay POP a one shot simulation of 7 rounds of random pairings with 128 entrants.
After 7 rounds
18 players on 7-0
17 players on 6-1
14 players on 5-2
so only one space for a 5-2 player but which one ??
7-0: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,13,14,19,20,21,22,23,39
6-1: 11,12,15,17,24,25,29,30,34,43,46,63,71
5-2: 16,27,28,32,33,35,40,41,44,47,49,50,55,93
Top 32 players that didn't make it because their record was 4-3!
18,26,31
None of the Top32 players at the begining of the tournament had a record worse than 4-3 in this single shot simulation which is I suspect is what you are anticipating.
However if you allow one player at random from the 5-2 group into the T32 elimination then probably 7 ranked players don't make it to the single elimination.
I bet you are going to ask what happens if I add another couple of rounds !
After 7 rounds
18 players on 7-0
17 players on 6-1
14 players on 5-2
so only one space for a 5-2 player but which one ??
7-0: 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,13,14,19,20,21,22,23,39
6-1: 11,12,15,17,24,25,29,30,34,43,46,63,71
5-2: 16,27,28,32,33,35,40,41,44,47,49,50,55,93
Top 32 players that didn't make it because their record was 4-3!
18,26,31
None of the Top32 players at the begining of the tournament had a record worse than 4-3 in this single shot simulation which is I suspect is what you are anticipating.
However if you allow one player at random from the 5-2 group into the T32 elimination then probably 7 ranked players don't make it to the single elimination.
I bet you are going to ask what happens if I add another couple of rounds !
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